Dramatic improvement in foreclosure numbers

The corner has been turned on the housing industry, and the numbers are there to back it up

The National Foreclosure Report shows the foreclosure inventory declined by 21.8% and completed foreclosures declined by 18.8% in November of last year, compared with the same month in 2014.

The number of completed foreclosures nationwide decreased year over year from 41,000 in November 2014 to 33,000 in November 2015. The number of completed foreclosures in November 2015 was down 71.6 percent from the peak of 117,657 in September 2010.

“After peaking at 3.6% in January 2011, the foreclosure rate currently stands at 1.2 % — a remarkable improvement,” said Dr. Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic. “While there are still pockets of areas with high foreclosure activity, 30 states have foreclosure rates below the national average which is evidence of the solid improvement.”

The foreclosure inventory represents the number of homes at some stage of the foreclosure process and completed foreclosures reflect the total number of homes lost to foreclosure. Since the financial crisis began in September 2008, there have been approximately six million completed foreclosures across the country, and since homeownership rates peaked in the second quarter of 2004, there have been about eight million homes lost to foreclosure.

As of November 2015, the national foreclosure inventory included approximately 448,000, or 1.2%, of all homes with a mortgage compared with 573,000 homes, or 1.5%, in November 2014. The November 2015 foreclosure inventory rate is the lowest for any month since November 2007. 

CoreLogic also reports that the number of mortgages in serious delinquency (defined as 90 days or more past due, including loans in foreclosure or REO) declined by 21.7% from November 2014 to November 2015, with 1.3 million mortgages, or 3.3%, in this category. The November 2015 serious delinquency rate is the lowest since December 2007.

“Tight post-crash underwriting standards coupled with much improved economic and housing market fundamentals have combined to push new mortgage delinquencies to 15-year-lows,” said Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic. “Although judicial states will likely continue to lag, given current trends, it is reasonable to expect a continued and significant drop in the rate of serious delinquencies and foreclosure starts in 2016.”